Why Was This Indicator Chosen?

Threatened steelhead trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) in Redwood and Lagunitas creeks are good indicators of riparian habitat and hydrological conditions as well as ocean health, and provide marine-derived nutrients for aquatic and riparian communities.

What is Healthy?

Living in both estuarine and stream habitats that vary in depth, velocity, temperature, and shelter, steelhead are not as dependent on stream habitat conditions for survival as coho salmon. To persist indefinitely, steelhead trout should occupy more locations in the Mt. Tam area of focus and should migrate to the ocean in numbers sufficient to allow a viable number of adult steelhead to return each year and spawn. The National Fish and Wildlife Service recovery plan for this species (NMFS, 2012) lists specific goals for numbers of spawners and redds (nests), and smolts (young fish migrating out to sea).

What Are the Biggest Threats?

• Historic hydrological changes and habitat loss that have affected anadromous fish migration, increased sedimentation, and reduced the number of pools and other critical habitats
• Current hydrological changes and habitat loss including water withdrawals, drought, channel incision, and a loss of downstream floodplain connectivity
• Ocean-related factors such as over-harvesting of salmonids as well as their prey (e.g., sardines) and changes to ocean food webs related to climate change
• Potential invasive aquatic species including exotic mollusks such as New Zealand mud snail (Potamopyrgus antipodarum) and the spread of invasive Japanese knotweed (Fallopia japonica)
• The effects of climate change such as higher water temperatures, longer droughts, more intense rainfall, and disruptions in the ocean food web

What is The Current Condition?

Steelhead trout are in Poor condition. Stream occupancy numbers are very low. The eight-year average for spawners and redds is only approximately 11 percent of the NMFS recovery target for Lagunitas Creek and 36 percent for Redwood Creek. One Tam agency biologists believe the Lagunitas Creek target is too high, but conservatively consider the population in Redwood Creek at high risk of extirpation. Similar concerns exist about the smolt target for Lagunitas Creek, and few data exist on steelhead smolt abundance in Redwood Creek.

What is the Current Trend?

The current trend is No Change for smolt estimates, and there is no evidence to determine whether steelhead occupancy has increased or decreased in recent years. Redd counts since 2008 in Lagunitas Creek show no strong trend. Although redd counts in Redwood Creek appear to have declined since 2012, the survey timeframe is short and there’s low confidence in individual run estimates.

How Sure Are We?

We have only Moderate confidence in these assessments because surveys miss certain time periods and stream segments. Also, steelhead trout tend to migrate to and from the ocean in late winter when stream flows can be high. As a result, there remains a fair amount of uncertainty about the condition and trends of our local steelhead populations.

What is This Assessment Based On?

• NMFS Federal Register documents (NMFS 2012, 2015)
• National Park Service inventory and annual monitoring (Carlisle et al., 2016)
• Marin Municipal Water District annual monitoring reports (see MMWD link in References below)
• Redwood Creek Watershed Assessment (Stillwater Sciences, 2011)

What Don’t We Know?

Key information gaps include:

• Expanded monitoring would help build a more robust dataset for steelhead trout, including Passive Integrated Transponder (PIT) tagging to provide data on steelhead trout smolt emigration prior to the start of smolt trapping and field surveys to fully identify both current occupancy and migration barriers